Split Decision Coming?

The Wall Street Journal notes the odds of one presidential candidate winning the popular vote and the other winning the Electoral College are small, but “the makings of a split outcome are clearly there, due in part to a range of factors peculiar to this election.”

“Mr. Romney has clearly gained momentum since his strong debate performance in Denver earlier this month. For the first time all year he pulled ahead of Mr. Obama as measured by several running aggregates of national polls.”

“But many of these polls point to anomalies that could make a split outcome all the likelier. A month ago, when Mr. Obama was still ahead of his rival by seven percentage points in the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, the president was losing by a similar margin in the South, which accounted for about a third of the poll’s base of voters.”