Why Ashley Judd Probably Can’t Win

Harry Enten: “The chances for any Democrat to win a red state (or for a Republican to win in a blue one) have decreased dramatically over the past 20 years. If you’re challenging a candidate from the opposition party in a midterm, your chances drop to around 4%. If you’re also facing an incumbent, your odds inch even closer to nil. Thus, should she choose to run, don’t expect Ashley Judd to win. But I also don’t think any Democrat could win.”