Democrats Have Little Chance to Take the House

John Sides says his forecast shows Democrats have just a 1% chance to win control of the House of Representatives next year.

“This is a testament to the fact that current conditions in the country, and the presence of so many Republican incumbents, make it hard for the Democrats to pick up many seats. In order for that forecast to change measurably in the Democrats’ favor, the economy needs to grow more rapidly or President Obama needs to become more popular, or both. A few more Republican retirements and strong Democratic challengers wouldn’t hurt, either.”

Sides discussed his forecast with us on the Political Wire podcast.