Will 2014 Be Like 2010?

David Wasserman: “Are Democrats up against a political environment just as bad as 2010? Not quite, at least not yet. But, at this rate, it is quite possible that Republicans net eight seats or more, which would give them their largest seat share in the House since 1928. The reason? Republicans are fighting on more favorable turf than they did in 2010, thanks to redistricting in 2012.”

“Bottom line: The results in FL-13 strongly suggest that even talented Democratic challengers may not be able to overcome turnout drop-off and Obamacare on GOP-leaning turf in 2014. And, faced with a president and signature healthcare law polling in the low 40s in most district, Democratic incumbents need to batten down the hatches sooner rather than later.”