Midterm Danger Signs for Democrats

A new Politico poll finds that in the congressional districts and states where the midterm elections will actually be decided, likely voters said they would prefer to vote for a Republican over a Democrat by 7 points, 41% to 34%. A quarter of voters said they were unsure of their preference.

Key finding: “Both Obama’s job approval and the partisan ballot matchup are markedly more negative for Democrats in this poll than other national surveys — a reflection of the political reality that the midterm campaign is being fought on turf that is more challenging for Democrats than the nation as a whole.”

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