Nate Silver: “Pollsters are picking up the pace after a slow start in this midterm election season… The bottom line is not much has changed. The FiveThirtyEight forecast model gives Republicans a 65.1% chance of winning the Senate with the new polling added, similar to the 63.5% chance that our previous forecast gave them on Friday.”
“But the path to a Republican majority is becoming a little clearer — and the problem for Democrats is that it runs through six deeply red states.”
Meanwhile, The Upshot gives Republicans a 61% chance of taking the Senate.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.