Email Controversy Hasn’t Really Moved Polls

Domenico Montanaro: “To be sure, the email controversy has not been good for Clinton. Instead of sitting back, watching Republicans duke it out, working on her presidential launch and trying to tailor her message, she has had to defend her exclusive use private email to conduct business as secretary of state. But for all the attention it’s gotten, not much has changed in the polls — so far…”

“Some of the tightening happening with Clinton’s ratings is to be expected as the campaign gears up. When she ran for president in 2007-2008, her positive-to-negative numbers were about even. When she was seen as non-political, as secretary of state, her ratings ballooned. And now, as she is about to likely embark on another presidential bid — as the far-and-away front runner for the Democratic nomination — she is being viewed more politically, and her numbers are returning to somewhere close to split. … All of this is to say that this far out from an election, it’s important to take a step back and take in all the data. Unquestionably, this email story is far from finished, but, at this point, it doesn’t look like it’s had a major impact on Clinton’s standing.”