Has Donald Trump Already Peaked?

First Read: “Here’s a fairly safe prediction: Trump’s poll position in the GOP race is going to go down. It might not happen tomorrow, or next month before the first debate, or the month after that. But it’s going to happen. And it won’t be due to immigration, but instead past statements on a slew of important issues to the GOP base.”

“Exhibit A: His comment to NBC’s Tim Russert in 1999 that ‘I’m very pro-choice.’ … Exhibit B: His remark on not opposing gays serving in the military in that same 1999 interview. ‘Hey, I’ve lived in New York City and Manhattan all of my life. So my views are a little different than had I lived in Iowa.’ (Expect that line in a TV ad to Iowa voters.) Exhibit C: Another 1999 quote from Trump via Buzzfeed. ‘I’m very liberal when it comes to health care. I believe in universal health care.’ Make no mistake, GOP rivals and outside groups will make Iowa and New Hampshire voters know about those lines if Trump is still riding high in the polls by November or December.”