“One of the three super PACs supporting Rand Paul’s presidential campaign has stopped raising money, dealing a damaging blow to an already cash-starved campaign,” Politico reports.
Archives for September 2015
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Quote of the Day
“It’s just something I think we ought to look at as a party. I don’t think there should ever be any sacred cows as to the primary process or the order.”
— RNC Chairman Reince Priebus, quoted by National Journal, on Iowa and New Hampshire’s early spots in the presidential primary calendar.
Conservatives Look to Put Gowdy in House Leadership
“A long-simmering campaign among conservative activists to draft Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC) into a House leadership post has suddenly re-emerged in the scramble following House Speaker John Boehner’s resignation,” the Washington Post reports.
“A movement to pull Gowdy into the race for majority leader began to rapidly pick up momentum Tuesday morning… Rep. Mick Mulvaney (R-S.C.) said the interest in Gowdy is rising because the current candidates for majority leader — House Budget Chairman Tom Price (R-GA) and current GOP Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) — are fighting a hotly contested battle and some members may like to see another voice enter who could emerge as a consensus pick.”
Politico: “House GOP leadership races are conducted by secret ballot, so there’s an extra level of intrigue that goes along with these races. Scalise and Price have locked up support, but there’s nothing stopping a lawmaker from reversing themselves and abandoning their commitment when it comes times to vote.”
The Latest on Wonk Wire
Trump’s Wealth Estimated at $4.5 Billion
Forbes: “Trump’s valuation this year holds extra importance, of course, due to his audacious second act: his highly unlikely–but no longer inconceivable–path to the presidency. Trump has filed statements claiming he’s worth at least $10 billion or, as he put in a press release, TEN BILLION DOLLARS (capitalization his). After interviewing more than 80 sources and devoting unprecedented resources to valuing a single fortune, we’re going with a figure less than half that — $4.5 billion, albeit still the highest figure we’ve ever had for him.”
Shutdown Averted, But Only for Three Months
Stan Collender: “The Boehner resignation makes it hard to develop a realistic scenario that results in a government shutdown when the fiscal year begins this Thursday. If everything goes as expected, after the Senate adopts a clean CR early this week and sends it across the Capitol, Boehner will bring it up for a vote and the House will pass it easily, thanks to substantial support from Democrats. As a result, the government shutdown that looked so likely a week ago will be averted.”
“But it will be a very different story when this soon-to-be-passed CR expires in December. All the factors that make a shutdown this week so improbable will make it far more likely to happen near the end of the year.”
Can Democrats Take Advantage of the GOP’s Self-Imolation?
Charlie Cook says that it “seems like, in very different ways, both parties are at risk of self-destructing. Republicans seem hell-bent on committing self-immolation on both the presidential and congressional levels. Democrats, who pretty much settled on a presidential nominee early on, now find their front-runner hopelessly mired in (depending on your perspective) a scandal or a controversy, one that is unlikely to be resolved anytime soon and has raised legitimate questions about how electable she’d be.”
“For Hillary Clinton, even the best-case scenario looks pretty grim: This mess over her State Department emails drags on for months, with a drip, drip, drip of revelations that will keep her and her campaign off-balance, off-message, and constantly reacting to events; then that it peters out early next year, with no charges filed, but her image and standing in opinion polls in awful shape, with no positive energy left in her campaign.”
Trump Leads Both Rubio and Bush in Florida
A new Florida Chamber Political Institute poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race in Florida with 25%, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio at 14% and Jeb Bush at 13%.
Alabama Governor Agrees to Divorce Terms
Alabama Gov. Robert Bentley’s (R) office said the governor and First Lady Dianne Bentley had reached an agreement ending their 50-year marriage, the Montgomery Advertiser reports.
“Details of the settlement were not immediately available. Bentley said he had asked for the records of the divorce case to be unsealed, though it remained off-limits as of Monday afternoon.”
Headline of the Day
“Santorum recalls campaign when dog peed on him”
— Cincinnati Enquirer, September 29, 2015.
Trump Not Concerned About Tightening Polls
Donald Trump told NBC News that he’s not worried about some recent polls showing his lead in the GOP presidential race narrowing.
Said Trump: “This is going to be an ebb and flow. How can I continue to lead by such wide margins? It’s an ebb and flow, but I’m leading every single poll and most of them by a substantial number.”
He added: “If I think for some reason it’s not going to work, then I go back to my businesses.”
Trump Quote of the Day
“This will be a rocket ship for the economy.”
— Donald Trump, in an interview on The Today Show, on his tax plan.
Bush Struggles to Calm Donors
“For the past week, Jeb Bush’s campaign advisers have been using a new data point to convince nervous donors that he’s still the candidate to beat — Bush’s lead in the political prediction markets,” Politico reports.
“Just one problem: Beginning Sunday night, PredictIt, the biggest of the online sites and the one referenced last week by top Bush advisers and confidants, placed Marco Rubio ahead of Bush at the head of the GOP pack. The sudden evaporation of yet another data point in his favor explains the tension in and around Bush’s campaign this week on the eve of the third quarter FEC fundraising deadline.”
House GOP Remains Very Divided
New York Times: “The right flank of John A. Boehner’s party may have pushed him out of the House speaker’s chair, but it will take members of every faction of the House Republicans to choose his successor. As the scramble to replace Mr. Boehner — and fill the leadership posts beneath him — begins in earnest this week, a few dozen members who spent several years tormenting the speaker feel deeply empowered in determining the outcome.”
“But while they may have effectively deposed Mr. Boehner, their own authority is in no way assured.”
The Trump Dilemma
New York Times: “The Trump campaign may be a win-win for Trump, but it is a monstrous dilemma for a lot of other people. It is a dilemma for the Republican Party and a dilemma for the people Trump is running against. They would love to dismiss him as a sideshow and declare his shark jumped, except he keeps dominating the campaign and the conversation, and they have no clue whether to engage, attack, ignore or suck up in response. It is a dilemma for the elected leaders, campaign strategists, credentialed pundits and assorted parasites of the ‘establishment.’ They have a certain set of expectations, unwritten rules and ways of doing things that Trump keeps flouting in the most indelicate of ways. And, of course, it is a dilemma for the media, who fear abetting a circus.”
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