Trump Surges Way Ahead in Florida

A new Florida Atlantic University poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential field with 48% support among likely Republican voters, followed Ted Cruz at 16%, Marco Rubio at 11% and Jeb Bush at 10%.

Said pollster Kevin Wagner: “At this point, Donald Trump is simply crushing the opposition in the Florida Republican primary. Not only has he increased his lead, Mr. Trump’s favorability ratings among Republicans are now ahead of his competitors by a substantial margin.”

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  • FuzzyLogik

    Democratic numbers:

    Clinton 62%
    Sanders 26%

    • rssrai

      I saw someone say that Florida must be a democratic establishment state. LOL.

    • nero88888

      Bernie has got the momentum or so I hear. He’s leading in one state and some are acting like he’s the front runner now. LOL

      New ppp NC poll out today. Bernie is getting crushed there especially among black voters.

    • ArkonaRus

      I do wonder how Sanders will do amongst the Jewish FL Dems who are very progressive (not centrists and those on center left but more liberal). It’ll be interesting how everything plays out in the end.

  • ralph_wiggam

    Trumps lead is not an endorsement of trump, imho, but rather a commentary on the rest of the republican field, especially Bush and Rubio.

    • jrforbo

      recall that Scott is the governor of Florida, just sayin’

      • ralph_wiggam

        Doesn’t matter, if the former Governor and sitting senator of a state barely crack the low teens, it means they are toast. At least graham had the sense to bow out before they embarrassed him in SC.

        • jrforbo

          I was actually commenting on the intelligence of Florida voters

          • IndependentLiberal

            The smart voters live in the SouthEast part of the state. 😉

          • jrforbo

            I assume that’s where you live?
            I didn’t mean to offend you with that blanket statement about Florida.

          • Laura616

            We know what you mean’t.

          • Laura616

            Correct.

  • SeattleDemo

    How fitting that Florida will vote on the Ides of March.

    Should Trump win NH, SC while doing no worse than 2nd in IA and NV, he will have a tsunami on 3/1 during the “SEC Primary”. Florida will end it. Winner take all.

    • Wow. He is actually going to pull this off. Difficult for me to fathom.

      • SeattleDemo

        Agreed. I imagine he is a surprised as everyone else. After his forthcoming landslide defeat in November, he will truly have done the nation a service. First, we will get the looming SCOTUS appointments thereby protecting the Bill of Rights. Second, we will have the Senate and maybe pretty close to the House. Third, he will have exposed for all to see what a vile, maggot-ridden, xenophobic carcass the GOP of today has become.

        He gets a ego-ride (until the sudden crash at the end) and we get to keep what’s left of our country. Not a bad deal at all.

        • TimWolfe

          I’m hopeful that you’re right, but I think you’re skipping over how ugly the rest of the campaign will be — Trump is already vindicating and encouraging the white supremacists and immigrant-bashers to come out of their holes and declare themselves openly, clearing plenty of space for hate speech in the public arena.

          Will speech turn increasingly to action as the election nears? Will we see a rise in hate crimes, as well? Trump’s shown he’s also not going to stint on grossly sexist ploys either, and once a woman is his main opponent….

          I’m not worried that he’s going to persuade moderates to his side, not at all. It’s his empowering of the most vicious elements in our society I’m concerned with. I fear it’s going to get a lot worse before it gets better, I guess is what I’m saying.

          • SeattleDemo

            Thus far he has been incapable of making a coherent argument on any policy. In a debate Hillary or Bernie would wax the floor with that orange possum on his head. A “Republicans for saneness” group would emerge, not dissimilar to “Democrats for Nixon” in ’72.

            Your concern about our nation is both appropriate and clearly sincere. I share it. But TW this is the way things are. Trump is not creating this. He is exposing it and gaming it for his own joy ride.

          • SeattleDemo

            PS…Just to emphasize the point. You may have seen a few weeks ago on this site that 76% of Republicans think that unemployment has INCREASED during Obama’s presidency. Yeah. Something widely published/touted and objectively true the VAST majority of Republicans either don’t understand or refuse to acknowledge.

            Thoughts as to how this can possibly be?

          • OBforObama

            Let me take this opportunity to remind you that many of the most prominent D’s for Nixon were being extorted for $ and forced onto ads in support of him to avoid IRS audits.

        • I’m with TimWolfe on this. I don’t think he can win the general, but I don’t think he’ll get waxed as much as you think. I give his ceiling/floor 45-40.

          • IndependentLiberal

            His ceiling is 40, IMHO. Any serious GOP voters will not vote for Trump.

          • vicupstate

            ‘Serious GOP voters’

            Have you ever met one of those? If so, what are they like?

          • Chris Leatherman

            Serious GOP voters went out with Eisenhower.

          • vicupstate

            Ah. I’ve heard that. That was before my time.

          • Solution1776

            Every time someone says his ceiling is so and so, it goes up. Please keel saying it. I am Anti-GOP-Establishment’, I am voting for Trump.

          • SeattleDemo

            Let’s take your midpoint for him…42.5. Allowing the standard 2-3% for the also rans, that gives Hillary 55%. A 12.5% margin would be the best for a Dem since LBJ.

            That is a massive landslide although I didn’t quantify it per se.

        • hewardwilkinson

          Let us not forget, what Harold Macmillan is reputed or disputed to have said, “Events, dear boy, Events”…..
          http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/personal-view/3577416/As-Macmillan-never-said-thats-enough-quotations.html

      • Mark_in_VA

        It could always be worse. You could have been the editor who decided Trump coverage goes into the entertainment section at HuffPo.

    • OBforObama

      Well, go to today’s electoral-vote.com. Very in-depth dissection of the rules, which are not as winner-take-all as they seem. In some states if 4 candidates get above 20% of the vote, the delegates get split, though not evenly.

  • WigglyWeasel

    If Rubio cant win his own state, it’s time to throw him to the gators.

    • Wynstone

      3-2-1-0!

    • ArkonaRus

      Gator dun!

  • Lat1

    That Rubio surge sure is happening! 3-2-1 pfft (who passed gas?).

    • brainscoop

      I can’t wait to hear Rubio’s new “fourth in Florida” strategy.

  • LK234

    There are a substantial number of ex- New Yorkers in Florida (or part-time New Yorkers who vote in FL). I imagine that Trump’s “New York values” response played well with them.

    • ArkonaRus

      And I imagine he plays well up north in the ‘Redneck Riviera’.

  • IndependentLiberal

    South Florida resident here who can actually see FAU out our office window. The SouthEast part of the state is deep blue, so I have not see any ads for any of the GOP candidates here. Everyone in this area, even Republican voters, think Trump is a complete joke.

    Orlando is purple-blue as is the rest of the I-4 corridor.

    The rest of the state is redder than red. Like, the deep South.

    So for those across the state, have you been seeing ads?

    • GatorLegal1

      FAU, eh? I grew up in Boca Raton. Was just there yesterday for a funeral actually. Brought some cool weather down there with me from the north central part of the state where I live now! I have several terrific old friends who live very near FAU, I visit them whenever I can. (Btw, it’s crazy what they’re doing along I-95 there with the new ramps between Yamato Rd, Glades Rd, and Spanish River Blvd with the new ramps and access road to FAU. I thought Boca changed a lot between 1984-2010, but wow, it just keeps changing…)

      The only – and I mean the only – two GOP candidates’ stickers I’ve seen on any vehicles while traveling the state across the I-95, I-4, and Turnpike corridors have been Trump and Carson stickers. About 10 Trump stickers for every 1 Carson that I’ve seen. Ironically I’ve seen more Trumps in the cities and more Carsons in the rural outlying areas. Go figure. But there don’t seem to be very many of either sticker yet, or of any candidate’s, really. (I don’t count the occasional “Rubio 2010” Senate stickers. Too hard to peel off – the sticker or the stubbornness.) I think it’s still a little early though. The most frequently-seen ones that I’ve noticed have been Bernie’s and Hillary’s, but like you said, our state is very geographically segmented re: the distribution of the red/blue divide. The major urban areas are either mostly liberal about 60/40 or 50/50 around the suburbs, with the rural outlying (less populated) counties mostly deep red conservative.

    • 10,000 Trumpettes at a rally in Pensacola just last week:
      http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/elections-2016/article54604715.html

      • Solution1776

        Trump hopefully will run the table. Trump 2016!!!

  • eve

    Now I think I must feel like all the people that said there was no way Obama could be the candidate nor win the general election. Good goddess, save us all.

    • Solution1776

      You supported Obama? Well, I hope you finally realize we don’t need another 4 years of Obama policy through a Hillary presidency.

      • andereandre

        No, we need 8.

        • Solution1776

          We wouldn’t make it to 8, the US would be bankrupt in 4. Or, we’d end up replacing our Constitution with Sharia law, similar to what Germany is doing now.

          • GatorLegal1

            You are an idiot, and a very misinformed one too. I feel sorry for you and your family

          • Snakegirl Lyn

            More of this again? (Sigh)

      • OBforObama

        Yeah, don’t know if we could tolerate unemployment down to 5%, gas down below $2/gallon, and a Dow over twice what it was when he was elected. The gun industry alone has made an additional $9 billion since Obama was elected. If Trump is elected the gun industry will be devastated!

        Yes, the guy who doesn’t even know what the nuclear triad is will have an excellent, awesome, luxurious foreign policy. And he PROMISES he’ll make Mexico pay for that wall. Just like he promised all his creditors in NJ. Just liked he promised all his wives. Promising candidate, that Trump feller.

        • Solution1776

          You are so delusional it is hilarious. You keep on believing the illusion of Obama’s economy. The asset bubble has burst from the zero interest rates (as I predicted 2 years ago), real unemployment is about 15% including those who have given up looking for work, oil competition has increased which has nothing to do with Obama. The only thing he did was increase gun manufacturer profits, and that was not intentional.

          Trump wouldn’t have to know what a nuclear triad is, his skill is leading and managing, that is why he has a Secretary of Defense. Do you really think a President has expert level knowledge in every single aspect of running a country? Why do you think the President has a cabinet?

          So, he has wives, so what?

          • laughingdog

            There is this thing, this thing, it is called BLS.

            http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t15.htm

            Source your claims or admit you’re in over your head in this message board, sparky.

          • Snakegirl Lyn

            I hate to burst your bubble, but Trump’s skill set is bullshitting and sticking someone else with the bills. Oh, and suing, lots of suing. I’m sure you can explain how Herr Hair is going to sue ISIS out of existence, right? I’m sure he’ll be the great uniter that President Obama was supposed to be, what with his neo-Nazi and white supremacist endorsements. (And yes, The Donald is aware of who these people are that are endorsing him.) I’m certain everything will straighten out and fly right once Trump has the reigns of government in his hands. Why don’t you talk to the people of Flint, MI about how their republican leadership has streamlined costs and made everything better?

            Oh, and btw- if the republican candidates can claim they will drive down the cost of gas during their administration and they are both believed and supported due to that belief, then the current administration gets to take credit for the lowered cost of gas now. You can’t have it both ways, Spanky.

            Lastly, if you are going to talk about “actual unemployment” then you have to go in and strip out the people who are either unable to work due to physical ailments/illnesses or they are retired. Otherwise, you are merely barking to bark.

      • laughingdog

        l8r sk8r

      • growe

        Kiss my ass and kiss the GOP House goodbye too, Willow.

      • GatorLegal1

        I WANT another four years of Obama policy, and I will support any Democratic candidate who does too. And frankly, seeing as how the American people elected Obama twice fairly convincingly, and seeing as how the country is faring much better now than it was 8 years ago, I think the majority of the American people agree with me.

  • Hey, look. Jeb has surged to fourth place. hehehe

    • ArkonaRus

      His family must be oh so proud.

  • chucktranberg

    Look at Marco surge all the way to 11% in his home state.

  • Who would have predicted a year ago that Rubio and Bush would have been battling it out for third place, not first? Or that between the two, Rubio would be the one edging out Bush?

  • growe

    Here again: NADER PAYBACK brought to you by Karma.
    Not one, but two, Sunshine State Republicans are running for President.

    But the wise people of Anita Bryant World are too stupid to believe their horse shit.
    NO, they want to back Anita-with-a-dick, another opportunistic asswipe, Donald J Trump.

    if the granola purist weenies have learned their lesson, Hillary takes Florida by 6 points.
    After Donny Hairpiece takes it in the primary by twenty points or more….

    • GatorLegal1

      I agree with a lot of what Sanders has to say; but Hillary’s getting my vote here in Florida. I don’t want to mess around in a year when any one of the GOP field’s psychotic / crazy / regressive / xenophobic / self-loathing and/or dangerous creeps could end up their nominee. There is always a chance one of them could exploit peoples’ fears enough to win. No thanks! I want them crushed, and I think Hillary can do it. I’m much less certain Sanders can. (Plus I am starting to get annoyed at those maligning Mrs. Clinton’s Democratic bona fides from the left. Especially on health care – she stuck her neck out perilously far in the early 1990s at great risk to her character and reputation when no one else would.)

  • growe

    Anybody want the baby brother of the failed last GOP President? No?
    OK how about a self-hating Latino who can’t manage his personal finances? NO?

    Jesus Christ no wonder Donny Duracell is going to crush their worthless asses.
    Sorry Kathy Harris, you won’t get that appointment, back to waiting tables at Hooters!

    • ArkonaRus

      Kind of wish that bald evil twerp Rick Scott were in this race to see him getting crushed, too.

      • GatorLegal1

        Funny you should say that. I’ve been been saying the same thing to friends and colleagues here the last few weeks since the thought first crossed my mind. Rick Scott is a first-class crook of the lowest order – a psychopath with little to no empathy for others. A true wolf in sheep’s clothing. He could be a perfect evil henchman to carry out untold and incalculably disastrous republican/tea party priorities and wish lists across the entire country. I loathe the very thought of him in political office with every fiber of my body. Therefore nothing would make me happier than to see Scott go down in flames, taking the republican party of Florida down with him through an ignominious and soul-crushing electoral defeat (as if Scott had a soul!). The possibilities for down-ballot republican losses here in Florida would greatly benefit this state. The FL state senate is ripe for such change right now because newly-drawn districts approved by a judge recently have made just enough seats competitive now that Democrats may actually have a chance to draw close to a 50-50 split in that body after being shut out nearly 2-1 since the 1990s due to illegal republican partisan gerrymandering.

        • ArkonaRus

          Well, seems like he’d make a perfect running mate for either Trump or Cruz then! I wouldn’t be shocked if he’d make their top 5 “Veepstakes”. Swing state guv, and despicable and loonie just like them. There’d be no risk of the Veep having ‘ethical concerns’ about anything.

          • GatorLegal1

            Ugh, the very thought of Rick Scott in any political office anywhere doing anything ever again literally makes my stomach turn and my skin crawl. The guy literally has no sense of empathy for others. He is cold and calculating and always wears the same faked forced smile, always gives the most evasive answer possible to soothe his tea party base while at the same time providing little or no material for his opponents. I’ve seen the look in his eyes. It’s sickening.

          • ArkonaRus

            Sounds like the right guy for Cruz then!

          • GatorLegal1

            Cruz-Scott would be by far the most loathsome presidential ticket in my lifetime to be sure. I mean, vomit-inducing. Both men are scum.

          • ArkonaRus

            Only something we can imagine in our nightmares. And I hope it stays that way.

  • ArkonaRus

    Wow, 21% for the ‘hometown boys’ Jeb and Marco. Can’t make this stuff up, folks.

    • Snakegirl Lyn

      Nope. But I can enjoy it. 👏🎉

      • ArkonaRus

        We all can :).