Trump May Not Be As Popular as Polls Suggest

Nate Cohn: “In the end, Mr. Trump came closer to taking third than to winning.”

“The result doesn’t necessarily leave us much closer to knowing who the eventual nominee will be. It probably signals the beginning of a protracted, three-way fight for the nomination. But the loss raises the possibility that Mr. Trump’s strength is at least partly an illusion; he may not be quite as strong as he looks.”

Nate Silver: “There may have been a more basic reason for Trump’s loss: The dude just ain’t all that popular. Even among Republicans.”