Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192
November Surprises
The latest FiveThirtyEight forecast shows that if the election were held today, Donald Trump would win 285 electoral votes compared to Hillary Clinton’s 253.
Clinton still narrowly leads the polls-only forecast for Election Day, which adjusts for Trump’s convention bounce, 276 to 261.
Nate Silver: “It’s not Trump’s convention bounce per se that should worry Dems. That’s pretty normal. It’s how it became so close to begin with.”
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Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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