FiveThirtyEight: “Running our polls-only model using only live-interview surveys, Clinton leads Trump by 7 points and has an 86% chance of winning. Running it with only nonlive-interview polls, Clinton leads Trump by 5 points and has a 71% chance of winning.”
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Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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