The FiveThirtyEight “now cast” shows Hillary Clinton with a 53% chance to win the election and Donald Trump a 47% chance if it were held today.
Nate Silver: “Our forecast has it close right now, with Clinton as the narrow favorite, because that’s what the polls show. It’s as simple as that.”


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.