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You are here: Home / 2016 Campaign / Trump’s Electoral Map Is Collapsing

Trump’s Electoral Map Is Collapsing

October 14, 2016 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Fix: “Forget Virginia. Or Colorado. Or lots of other traditional swing states. Right now, Donald Trump’s campaign is in such bad free fall, states that haven’t voted for a Democrat in generations are suddenly coming into play as the Republican nominee’s path to 270 electoral votes collapses all around him.”

“Over the past 72 hours, polls have come out in Alaska, Texas and Utah that show Trump narrowly ahead of Hillary Clinton. That comes on top of data that suggests Republican-friendly states likes Arizona and Georgia are already a jump ball between Clinton and Trump.”

“That’s absolutely remarkable when you consider the historic trends in those states. The last time a Democrat won Alaska was 1964, when Lyndon Johnson carried it over Barry Goldwater. Texas hasn’t voted for a Democrat for president since Jimmy Carter eked out the state in 1976. In Utah, like Alaska, LBJ is the last Democrat to win.”

The Upshot puts Clinton’s odds of winning at 89%, FiveThirtyEight has her at 84% and Sam Wang has her at 97%.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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