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Democrats Improve Midterm Odds In Updated Forecast

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The following post for members is by G. Elliott Morris of The Crosstab.

Forecasting is both an art and a science. We make predictions based on statistically significant relationships in historical data and on “assumptions” — observations about how an event operates in the real world. Good forecast models account both for what we know about these relationships and adjust for what we do not know.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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