Nate Silver’s 2018 Forecast Is Nearly Complete

“My guess, though, is that it will be pretty good for Democrats, based on factors like district-by-district polls and fundraising data, and the fact that Democrats are nominating viable candidates in almost every competitive district whereas Republicans have a lot of retirements or places where they didn’t put up a great nominee. Put another way, the overall constellation of indicators looks better for Democrats than ‘just’ the generic ballot, and the House model uses a broad constellation of indicators instead of focusing on just one or two. But my guess could be wrong — sometimes my model surprises me — so I’ll know more in a few days.”