‘Vulnerability Ratio’ Points to Blue Wave

“Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas has found a new way to measure House Republicans’ peril: ‘vulnerability ratio,’ which he measures as the net number of seats at risk versus the number needed to flip,” Axios reports.

“With 38 GOP House seats rated toss-up or worse by Cook Political Report, to only three Dem Seats, 2018 Republicans have net 35 seats at risk, significantly more than they can afford to lose (23).”

“With 152% of Republicans’ margin vulnerable, they’re in a more perilous position than Democrats in 2010 (when 123% of their margin was vulnerable) or Republicans in 2006 (119%).”