Political scientist Allan Lichtman, who wrote about the 13 keys to winning the White House and predicted Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, told CNN that Democrats “are fundamentally wrong about the politics of impeachment and their prospects for victory in 2020.”
He says Trump has only three keys against him now.
Said Lichtman: “An impeachment and subsequent trial would cost the president a crucial fourth key — the scandal key — just as it cost Democrats that key in 2000. The indictment and trial would also expose him to dropping another key by encouraging a serious challenge to his re-nomination.”
He added: “Other potential negative keys include the emergence of a charismatic Democratic challenger, a significant third-party challenge, a foreign policy disaster, or an election-year recession. Without impeachment, however, Democratic prospects are grim.”Save to Favorites