Philip Bump walks through the math showing why Bernie Sanders might emerge from Super Tuesday with an untouchable lead — and also may not be able to clinch the Democratic nomination before the convention.
“It’s not impossible that Sanders could consolidate enough support to clinch the nomination, nor is it impossible that he can be caught. I mean, obviously; only two states have voted. But these twin factors — the 15 percent threshold and the proportional distribution of delegates — make it harder for him to clinch and harder for him not to enter the convention with the most pledged delegates if FiveThirtyEight’s projections are right.”
