Harry Enten: “If you were to average all of the national polls taken at least partially after the conventions, there may have been a bump of maybe a point or 2 at most for Trump.”
“Interestingly, that might make for a slightly larger bounce than Biden received, which was basically nothing. That fits the historical pattern of elected incumbents usually getting the larger bounce from the conventions.”
“Still, it’s not anywhere close to where Trump needed his bounce to be. Remember, Trump trailed by around 9 points heading into the conventions.”
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