Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192
November Surprises
A new Monmouth poll in Arizona finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race, 48% to 44%.
Under a likely voter scenario with a somewhat higher level of turnout than in 2016, the race narrows to 48% for Biden and 46% for Trump. The race tightens even more to 47% Biden and 47% Trump when using a likely voter model with lower turnout.
In the U.S. Senate race, Mark Kelly (D) leads Sen. Martha McSally (R), 50% to 44%.
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Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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