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An Amateur’s Predictions for 2020

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This piece for members is by David T.S. Jonas.

There’s no reason to think that popular electoral forecasts like those at The Economist or at FiveThirtyEight won’t serve you better than an underqualified observer’s qualitative approach, but since my goal is chiefly to guard against hindsight bias, I thought I would offer these predictions for 2020.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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