Three Scenarios for Election Night

First Read sees three scenarios for tonight:

• Scenario #1: The national polls are correct (Biden is ahead 8-10 points), and we’ll find out a winner tonight.
• Scenario #2: Biden is able to win one of Florida, Georgia or North Carolina — and he’s the clear favorite to win — but it takes a day or two to call enough states to get him to 270-plus.
• Scenario #3: Trump’s numbers are better than the national polls suggest, and we’re in for a long, hard slog to see who wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Key takeaway: “But under none of those scenarios does Trump have the ability to wrap it up early.”