Jonathan Bernstein: “The big thing to know is that rising partisan polarization means that congressional midterm elections are increasingly nationalized votes on the popularity of the incumbent president — which means that individual candidates, whose importance has always been overrated, are now less important than ever.”
“The bottom line is that contested 2022 primaries are unlikely to be significant problems for either party as long as party actors from all sides accept the nomination winner. And that some internal arguments are healthy for the party, as long as they can be resolved in time for the general election.”
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