California Results Suggest Democrats Will Lose House

Harry Enten: “Voters’ feelings of Biden were quite predictive of how they voted on the recall. ‘No’ won 93% of those who approved, while ‘yes’ on the recall won 89% of those who disapproved.”

“The problem for Biden is that the exit poll indicates clear leakage in his support from a year ago… Assuming Democrats get about 90% of the pro-Biden vote and lose about 90% of the anti-Biden vote nationwide, it would mean they would very likely lose the national House vote.”