An amazing Reuters visual analysis shows how Donald Trump’s supporters “have waged a campaign of intimidation against the state and local officials who administer U.S. elections.”
Save to FavoritesAnatomy of a Death Threat
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Recent Posts
No One Knows Anything
Sean Trende: “I don’t know what else we can tell you. The modelers are effectively 50-50. Our tipping point state average has Trump up 0.3%, which is effectively 50-50. Everything…
The Post-Civil War Book Everyone Is Reading
Jonathan Martin: “If nothing else, the age of Trump has made abundantly clear that the post-World War II political consensus in America is over. With elections more an outgrowth of…
Quote of the Day
“Dear J.D. Vance: Have you found that calling a woman trash has worked for you? Because we generally don’t forget that shit.” — Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN), on X. Save…
What If GOP Wins the House But Can’t Choose a Speaker?
“House Democrats are increasingly alarmed by a potential threat to the transfer of presidential power: a protracted failure by Republicans to select a speaker if the GOP keeps control of…
Why It Will Harder For Trump To Subvert This Election
Cameron Joseph: “While postelection chaos is quite possible, 2024 is unlikely to be an exact replay of 2020. In important ways, the system has been strengthened.” Save to Favorites
Americans Who Want Out
Bushra Seddique: “Every four years, some liberal Americans threaten to leave the country if a Republican wins the presidency. Canada has become almost a joke—or maybe a fantasy—in certain left-leaning…
What You Can Ignore Today
The big secret about Election Day is there’s almost never any relevant news until the votes are being counted in the evening. Here are the stories you can ignore today:…
Trump Would Have Trounced Biden
Philip Bump: “Polling conducted by YouGov over the weekend included a question centered on the alternate universe in which Biden never dropped out at all. And in that universe, Donald…
Newspapers Rapidly Kill Off the Political Endorsement
“The vast majority of America’s largest newspapers by circulation aren’t endorsing a presidential candidate this year, marking a stark departure from previous election cycles,” Axios reports. “Endorsements have fallen off…
Meta Extends Ban on Political Ads
“Meta will extend its ban on new election ads for the week leading up to the election until several days after the polls close,” Axios reports. “The ban on new…
RNC Official Admits Noncitizen Voting Is Not a Thing
“In public remarks, former President Donald Trump has repeatedly made unfounded claims about the threat of widespread voting by ‘illegal aliens’ and noncitizens in the 2024 election,” ProPublica reports. “Away…
Don’t Forget the Weather Forecast
The weather forecast is cold and rainy today in Michigan and Wisconsin, but the other swing states look clear, and extreme weather isn’t forecast anywhere, Politico reports. Save to Favorites
The Most Unpredictable Election
Politico: “Never in modern political history has there been so much uncertainty heading into Election Day — with such a wide array of possible outcomes.” Save to Favorites
Clues to a Trump or Harris Victory Could Emerge Early
New York Times: “The first battleground state where the polls will close is Georgia, at 7 p.m. Eastern time, followed closely by North Carolina, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern. A majority…
Final Forecasts Points to a Coin Flip Election
Nate Silver: “At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle. Out of 80,000 simulations, Kamala Harris won in 40,012 (50.015%)…
Neither Side Ought to Win
Nate Cohn: “For Democrats, it’s a textbook challenge. In the latest New York Times/Siena College national poll, only 40 percent of voters approved of President Biden’s performance, and just 28…
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Wall Street Journal: “Prices on four betting platforms all point to an election victory for Donald Trump. Prices on PredictIt, which in recent days suggested Kamala Harris had the better…
How Harris Wins
Washington Post: “Harris’s mostly likely path to the presidency is through the Rust Belt as she has posted some of her best polling numbers there. If she is able to…
How Trump Wins
Washington Post: “Trump’s most likely path to 270 is winning Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, assuming he wins all the other non-swing states he won in 2020. Trump is ahead…
J.D. Vance Calls Harris ‘Trash’
Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) criticized Vice President Kamala Harris for disrespecting Americans just moments before calling her “trash,” Axios reports. Said Vance: “I want to ask us not to follow…
