No One Knows Anything

Sean Trende: “I don’t know what else we can tell you. The modelers are effectively 50-50. Our tipping point state average has Trump up 0.3%, which is effectively 50-50. Everything beyond that is a vibe or, arguably worse, anecdata. No one should have any confidence. Sorry.”

“Believe me, as someone whose job it is to predict elections for a living, that hurt me more than it hurt you.”