Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory

Wall Street Journal: “Prices on four betting platforms all point to an election victory for Donald Trump. Prices on PredictIt, which in recent days suggested Kamala Harris had the better chance of winning, have now flipped back in Trump’s favor.”

“Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on Kalshi, Polymarket and Smarkets put the Republican candidate’s chances of success at between 57% and 61.5%. Political polls, meanwhile, show the two candidates neck and neck.”