New York’s Canary in a Coal Mine

Politico: “It would have been easy to write Nebraska off as a fluke, after Democrats ran better than expected in a House race there last month. But then came Minnesota, where Democrats again beat expectations. And then, in New York on Tuesday, the dam broke.”

“It would have been a victory for Democrats if they’d even kept it close. Instead, Democrat Pat Ryan beat Republican Marc Molinaro in a district that Joe Biden narrowly won in 2020, but that would have appeared to favor Republicans in a normal midterm climate.”

“Overall, on the last major primary night of the year, the winds appeared to be shifting in Democrats’ favor.”

Said one GOP strategist as results came in: “Well, shit.”