GOP Could Get More Votes But Still Lose the House

Nate Cohn: “Over the last few decades, we’ve gotten accustomed to the idea that Democrats could easily win the popular vote but struggle to win control of government.”

“This time, there’s a chance of a reversal. After years of winning without carrying the popular vote, Republicans might just need to win the most votes to win the House in 2022. There’s even a small chance of something we haven’t seen since 1952: Republicans winning the most votes, but failing to win control of government.”

“If you’re finding that a little hard to believe, you’re not alone. I struggled to make sense of it when I first reached these calculations myself… But FiveThirtyEight has reached a similar conclusion.”