Democrats Look Good in Three of Four Key Senate Races

Here are the latest New York Times/Siena College polls:

• Pennsylvania: John Fetterman (D) 49%, Mehmet Oz (R) 44%.
• Arizona: Mark Kelly (D) 51%, Blake Masters (R) 45%.
• Nevada: Adam Laxalt (R) 47%, Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 47%.
• Georgia: Raphael Warnock (D) 49%, Herschel Walker (R) 46%.

“All considered, this is a pretty good set of numbers for Democrats. If they win three of the four Senate seats, they hold the Senate if everywhere else goes as expected. Here, they lead in the magic three of four while remaining highly competitive in the fourth — though it’s very important to caution that, unfortunately, most of this poll was taken before the Pennsylvania Senate debate.”

Of course, that Pennsylvania Senate race is critically important so we’ll have to see if the debate changed things.