The Dwindling Crossover Governorships

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Despite an increasing correlation between presidential and down-ballot results, there are still nine governors who govern states that their party did not win for president. That means there is a higher percentage of crossover governors than crossover members of the Senate and House.”

“Still, the number of crossover governors was higher in the recent past.”

“While there are lots of moving pieces, including what happens in the 2024 presidential election, we could see even more of a decline in the number of crossover governors in this cycle’s gubernatorial elections.”