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Control of the House Is a Game of Inches

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Cook Political Report: “The House is so narrowly divided that developments that used to seem like drops in the bucket — a court striking down a redistricting map here, a retirement or special election there — have taken on outsized importance. And although House control hasn’t flipped during a presidential cycle since 1952, Republicans are defending slightly more vulnerable seats: We rate 17 GOP seats in Toss Up or more vulnerable, compared to 12 Democratic-held seats.”

“If our 24 Toss Ups were to break down the middle and every Lean, Likely or Solid seat were to break as expected, Democrats would gain two seats — about halfway to the majority. But as 2020 and 2022 illustrated, the Toss Up column tends to break in one party’s direction.”

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goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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