Low Ceilings

Charlie Cook: “As we find ourselves in yet another cliffhanger of an election, the negative partisanship that has developed over the last three decades should not be underestimated. The high floors under each party and the low ceilings over each now mean that all national wins are on the margins.”

“Between 1900 and 1984, 14 of the 22 presidential elections were landslides, with margins of 10 points or more. Since 1988, there have been no landslides…”

“Just how close is this election? As of midday Monday, no candidate had more than 49% nor less than 48% in any of the seven swing states in the New York Times average of polls.”