Philip Bump: “New polling conducted by YouGov shows that only a bit over half of the country on average is aware of the various legal challenges Trump faces. And among those Republicans on whose political support he depends? Consistently, only a minority say they are aware of his lawsuits and charges.”
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The Supreme Court Could Make the President a King
Kimberly Welle: “Any day now, the Supreme Court could issue its decision in former President Donald Trump’s case seeking immunity from criminal prosecution. While the most direct impact of the…
Trump-Style Tory Attacks on Keir Starmer’s Age Backfire
“Efforts by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives to follow Donald Trump’s playbook by attacking Labour leader Keir Starmer over his age have fallen flat, an opinion poll found, as senior…
Manchin Won’t Run for Governor
Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) ruled out running for West Virginia governor, the Charleston Gazette-Mail reports. Save to Favorites
Trump’s Is Guilty of Undermining the Rule of Law
As we wait for the verdict in Donald Trump’s criminal “hush money” trial, it’s worth considering the impact of full acquittal. I don’t think it’s likely based on what was…
Texas GOP at War With Itself
“Republican hard-liners in Texas thought this year’s primary elections would be the moment when, after years of trying, they would finally be able to take decisive control of the State…
Mexicans on the Verge of Electing First Female President
“Claudia Sheinbaum’s list of accolades is long: She has a Ph.D. and a shared Nobel Peace Prize and was the first woman elected to lead Mexico City, her nation’s capital…
Trump Has Always Been Unpopular
Jonathan Bernstein: “For 75 years of polling, and from Harry Truman to George W. Bush, we know that no president has gone below 25% approval. If anything, the logic of…
Trump’s Pollsters Think They Can Spin Any Verdict
“Donald Trump’s pollsters have been tracking the impact of his indictments throughout his first trial and, moving to get ahead of events, are arguing that regardless of the verdict in…
Trump Could Surprise on VP Pick
“In recent weeks, an increasingly familiar list of Republicans has dominated the not-very-subtle competition to become Donald Trump’s running mate. Trump himself has added to the air of inevitability by…
Inside the Fall of Roe
Just published: The Fall of Roe: The Rise of a New America by Elizabeth Dias and Lisa Lerer. “Reeling from Barack Obama’s 2012 landslide presidential victory – and motivated by…
Biden Invests in Pennsylvania with Little to Show For It
“President Joe Biden’s rally with Vice President Kamala Harris at Girard College marked his fifth trip to the Philadelphia area this year and his seventh to Pennsylvania in 2024 alone,”…
Biden Not Banking on a Trump Conviction to Win
“A guilty verdict for Donald Trump in his New York hush-money trial would be unprecedented in presidential history — but even President Biden’s team isn’t sure it would matter come…
Poll Suggests Independent Candidates Hurt Biden More
A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds Joe Biden just ahead of Donald Trump nationally, 50% to 48%. But when independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, as well as…
It’s a Rematch But Not the Same Electorate
Bloomberg: “Though President Joe Biden won his first contest with presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump in 2020, any number of factors could alter the outcome this year: Voter unhappiness over…
Most Who Backed Trump Challengers Survived Primaries
“Few House Republicans went against Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential primaries and endorsed one of his challengers. But among those who did and sought reelection, almost all have evaded…
Pro-McCormick Super PAC Plans $30 Million Ad Blitz
“The main super PAC supporting David McCormick, the Republican running for Senate in Pennsylvania, is reserving $30 million worth of television ads in the state, a major escalation in the…
Experts Question Alito’s Failure to Recuse Himself
New York Times: “Supreme Court justices seldom give reasons for their decisions to recuse themselves. Even rarer are explanations for deciding to participate in a case when they have been…
Campaigns Anxiously Await Trump Trial Verdict
USA Today: “As a New York jury heads into a second day of deliberations on Thursday over the hush money-related charges against Trump, the Republican and Democratic presidential campaigns are…
South Africa’s Ruling Party Set to Share Power
“South Africa’s ruling party looks set to fall well short of obtaining a parliamentary majority for the first time since it came to power at the end of apartheid three…
Exchange of the Day
A reporter asked President Biden a question during a campaign appearance: REPORTER: President Biden, will you be serving your full four-year term or handing over power to Vice President Harris?…