A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week June 14, 2024 · 10:01 am ET · Leave a Comment FiveThirtyEight released its new forecasting model this week and it shows a dead even election. It’s literally a 50-50 race this morning. But one line in their analysis sticks with me: Donald Trump is slightly favored by the polls, but Joe Biden is slightly favored by the fundamentals. Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more. If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.