Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “As Harris has performed better against Donald Trump in the Sun Belt than Biden, we are moving Georgia back into the Toss-up category.”
“These changes mean that all of the electoral votes that Trump carried in 2020 continue to at least lean to him, although we do wonder if North Carolina may become a true Toss-up if Harris’s upward trajectory continues. All of the electoral votes in places where Biden did better than his 4.5-point national popular margin at least lean to Harris. The 6 states that Biden won by smaller margins than his national margin are Toss-ups.”
This is reflected on our interactive map.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.