What the Next Few Hours Will Look Like

Punchbowl News: “House Republican leadership is going to put the bill on the floor on suspension of the rules. Any legislation considered in this manner requires a two-thirds majority for passage. With Democrats opposed, the bill will fail.”

“The GOP leadership will then try to get a rule reported out of the Rules Committee and hold a floor vote under a simple-majority threshold. It’s not clear if the Rules Committee will be able to report a rule, given its rightward membership.”

“House Democrats predict they will lose only a handful of members. But it might be enough to help Johnson pass the bill. That’s how close this vote will be. In short, a lot is up in the air.”

“If this bill fails under a rule, Johnson is in big trouble and the federal government will lurch closer to a shutdown.”