Democrats Could Take Control of the Senate by 2028

Nate Silver: “Democrats clearly do have a pathway to a Senate majority in 2028. Republicans currently control 53 Senate seats, and Democrats 47. Between 2026 and 2028, there are three contests in highly competitive 2024 states — one each in North Carolina in 2026 and 2028, and then one in Wisconsin in 2028. Plus, there’s a fourth race in Maine next year, where Susan Collins is running for re-election in a state that hasn’t voted Republican for president since 1988.”

“Obviously, none of this is easy for Democrats — Collins, in particular, survived in 2020 even as Donald Trump lost to Joe Biden. But if Democrats were to win three of the four races plus the presidency, they’d probably have a trifecta in 2028.”