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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Trump Has a Real Problem with Independents

July 27, 2025 · 10:45 am ET · Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “It’s hard to characterize just how bad 29% approval with independents is. You can explain the number in a couple of ways: First, 29% is somewhere between 11 and 17 percentage points lower than the president’s share of the vote with independents in the 2024 election (VoteCast says 40%, Edison says 46%). That means that roughly one out of every three political independents who voted for Trump in the 2024 election now says they disapprove of how he’s governing.”

“As it turns out, 29% among independents is also a record low for Trump, according to Gallup.”

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