Andrew Cuomo’s Last Stand

Nate Silver: “Cuomo simply doesn’t have any foundation of people voting for him for positive reasons. In last week’s Quinnipiac survey, for instance, which actually showed a slightly closer race than most, the only demographic group to give Cuomo a favorable rating above 50 percent was voters aged 65 and older, and then just barely at 51 percent (against 38 percent unfavorable).”

“Republicans don’t really have much basis to be comfortable with Cuomo; he governed as a fairly moderate but nevertheless partisan Democrat in his three terms (one truncated) as governor. But Cuomo also lost the Democratic nomination to Mamdani and is attacking Zohran from the right. Independents, meanwhile, have no particular reason to like someone who is such an avatar of the political establishment.”

“And every voter can object to the extensive list of sexual harassment accusations against Cuomo — although for whatever reason, a lot of polls show him doing better among women than among men.”