Why a Blue Wave May Be Harder This Year

“Democrats are celebrating signs that the tide is turning their way for the 2026 midterms. But translating dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump into an electoral tsunami, or even a wave election, will be much harder to achieve than in years past,” the Washington Post reports.

“History, polling, a narrow Republican majority, a string of off-year victories and voter anxiety over the economy favor the Democrats, who lead in support for control of Congress by five percentage points in a Post average of November and December national polls. But the battlefield in the House is smaller than ever, according to political analysts, experts and operatives, meaning Democrats will need to compete in districts that Trump won by large margins to pick up a significant number of seats.”