A Big Blue Wave Is Still Possible

Alan Abramowitz: “Midterm elections often act as a brake on presidential power, but extreme partisan polarization calls into question whether the 2026 midterm will serve its usual role.”

“However, despite growing partisan polarization, large partisan swings in the House and Senate still appear to be possible.”

“This is truer of the House than the Senate, though, as nationalization has helped Republicans realize an advantage on the overall Senate map.”