The Atlantic: “The White House is calculating that the island’s extreme economic hardships will provide the leverage Trump needs to force Havana into submission…”
“The government-to-government talks hold the potential for a peaceful settlement—but the track record isn’t strong. U.S. discussions with the regimes in Iran and Venezuela in recent months came to naught, prompting military intervention in both countries. Officials told us the U.S. approach to Cuba would likely replicate the course of events in Venezuela—several called the Caracas operation a ‘dry run’ for Havana—and that the switch from negotiation to military action could happen imminently.”
“Everything, they cautioned, depends on Trump and his willingness to challenge another regime while still fighting in Iran. But preparations on several fronts are well advanced should he decide to proceed.”
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