A Redistricting Check-In

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “As we await the Callais fallout, we already have seen a huge amount of mid-decade redistricting this cycle. These states with redrawn maps account for nearly 40% of all of the nation’s House seats.”

“Amazingly, though, the median House seat by 2024 presidential margin is actually the same as it was before any states redrew.”

“However, it wouldn’t be accurate to say that nothing has changed. The number of truly competitive seats as well as the number of truly uncompetitive seats have both declined.”