Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Although several states are still in flux, we may be nearing the end of 2026’s redistricting saga.”
“As tempting as it may be to do so, it won’t be possible to do a precise accounting of redistricting’s effects until after the November election.”
“Assuming Republicans successfully add an extra seat apiece in Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina, and that all of the current redraws remain in place, our best guess is a Republican gain in the high single digits from redistricting, with the potential for that to grow or shrink based on the actual results in several key races.”

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