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Republicans vs. the Polls

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“Recent weeks have seen the whirring and chirping to life of the various election prognostication machines we’ll all be refreshing between now and November,” NOTUS reports.

“They differ when it comes to the Senate — control there is either a toss-up or a slight Democratic advantage, depending on which you like best. But for the House, they all say the same thing: Republicans will not be in control when all the counting is over.”

“Behind that consensus: Donald Trump’s flatlining poll numbers, huge turnout for Democrats in primaries and special elections, generic ballot averages showing Democrats with a lead. Add the historic headwinds for the party not in the White House in a midterm.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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