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Trump’s ‘Hub and Spoke’ Conspiracy

July 11, 2022 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Weissmann: “The hearings should inspire the Justice Department to rethink its approach: A myopic focus on the Jan. 6 riot is not the way to proceed if you are trying to follow the facts where they lead and to hold people ‘at any level’ criminally accountable, as Attorney General Merrick Garland promised.”

“The evidence gathered in the hearings describes a multiprong conspiracy — what prosecutors term a ‘hub and spoke’ conspiracy — in which the Ellipse speech by President Trump and the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol were just one spoke of a grander scheme.”

“This broader approach would avoid the thorny debate that has emerged as to whether Mr. Trump could be criminally culpable for inciting the riot during his Ellipse speech, or if, on the contrary, his speech is protected under the First Amendment and the evidence too ambiguous to justify the extraordinary step of indicting a former president. Building a criminal case that looks solely at the riot itself is far more complex legally and factually for those who weren’t at or in the Capitol. These challenges of the current bottom-up approach have led to criticism of the slow pace of the narrow Justice Department approach.”

“Instead, what the hearings have revealed is evidence of a plot orchestrated by Mr. Trump and his allies in the White House and elsewhere — including players from the Mueller investigation like Roger Stone, Michael Flynn and Rudy Giuliani as well as new players like Jeffrey Clark and John Eastman.”

Broad Approval for New Gun Law

July 11, 2022 at 11:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Pew Research poll finds 64% of U.S. adults approve of the new gun law, including 32% who strongly approve. Just 21% say they disapprove of the law, including 11% who strongly disapprove; 15% are not sure.

“Despite broad support for the new law, however, most Americans are not optimistic it will do much to reduce gun violence in the country: 78% think the new gun law will do a little (42%) or nothing at all (36%) to reduce gun violence. Only 7% say the bill will do a lot, while 14% say they are not sure.”

How Polls Work and Why We Need Them

July 11, 2022 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A must-read: Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them by G. Elliott Morris.

In defense of public opinion polls.

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Justice Department Calls Out Steve Bannon’s Stunt

July 11, 2022 at 10:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“One week ahead of jury selection in Steve Bannon’s contempt of Congress trial, the Justice Department said the Trump associate’s purported desire to reverse his stance and testify before the House Jan. 6 committee is nothing more than a ‘last-ditch attempt to avoid accountability,” NBC News reports.

Rolling Blackouts Possible in Texas

July 11, 2022 at 10:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Multiple sources tell the Quorum Report there’s a high possibility of rolling blackouts in Texas between 2 and 6 p.m. in the afternoon for the next three days.

Last November, Gov. Greg Abbott (R) guaranteed that “no one will face danger again from a power failure” in his state.

Abortion Laws Could Split Republicans, Boost Democrats

July 11, 2022 at 10:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The opposition to abortion that unified Republicans for a generation is poised to disintegrate, with internecine battles arising over how far the party should go with laws affecting when a woman can terminate her pregnancy,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“Some red states have settled on bans at 15 weeks with exceptions for rape and incest; others at conception with carve-outs only to preserve the mother’s life, sparking anxiety among veteran Republican strategists that the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade, long sought-after by the GOP, could mark a new era of treacherous infighting.”

“And with Republican lawmakers in some legislatures mulling onerous regulations to prevent women from crossing state lines to obtain an abortion where the procedure remains legal, those worries are extending to a new battlefront: 2024. Party professionals concede Democrats could wield Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization as a bludgeon against their next presidential nominee.”

Trump Never Thought He Won the Election

July 11, 2022 at 10:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just Security debunks the nonsensical idea that Donald Trump “really believed” he had won the election.

Two Very Weak Candidates Could Face Off In 2024

July 11, 2022 at 10:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The new New York Times/Siena poll is a massive wake up call for Democrats.

With an approval rate of just 33%, Joe Biden looks like the weakest incumbent president in decades. Even more alarming is that 61% of Democrats — and 94% of those ages 18 to 29 — don’t want Biden to run again.

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Inside Tomorrow’s January 6 Committee Hearing

July 11, 2022 at 10:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “The Jan. 6 select committee will hold its seventh hearing tomorrow, focusing heavily on the violent mob that stormed the Capitol, how it was summoned to Washington by former President Donald Trump and the far-right extremists who coordinated the deadly attack on the Capitol.”

“The select committee won’t release the witnesses for tomorrow’s hearing until later today, but NBC reported that a former spokesperson for the Oath Keeper, a right-wing militia group, will testify.”

Politico: Meet the key players in the next January 6 Committee hearings.

Ron DeSantis Would Kill Democracy Slowly

July 11, 2022 at 10:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “Unlike the Eisenhower-era Republican Party, and unlike the conservative parties in every other democratic country, the conservative movement never accepted the democratic legitimacy of the welfare state. Conservatives considered the ability of majorities to vote for economic redistribution a threat to liberty and placed the preservation of liberty (as they defined it) above democracy. And so, while Trump’s almost feral contempt for democracy and the rule of law represented a unique threat, the longer-term danger to the Republic was the institutional power of a movement that had never truly made its peace with democratic principles.”

“DeSantis is a flawless sample of this belief system. The conservative argument that democracy is dangerous lies so close to his heart that he wrote an entire book dedicated to the precept that ‘when the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.'”

Gas Prices Keep Falling

July 11, 2022 at 10:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The average price of a gallon of regular gasoline is now $4.68, according to AAA, down from $5 a month ago. 

Schumer Tests Positive for Covid-19

July 11, 2022 at 10:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s (D-NY) office announced he has tested positive for Covid-19 and “has very mild symptoms.”

Punchbowl News: “Now this leads to an interesting situation. The Senate is supposed to be voting this week on the nomination of Steven Dettelbach to serve as director of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives. There hasn’t been a Senate-confirmed ATF director since 2015, and the White House and Democratic leaders would like to get Dettelbach in place.”

“GOP Sens. Susan Collins and Rob Portman voted with all 50 Democrats to discharge the nomination from the Senate Judiciary Committee, giving Dettelbach more than enough votes for confirmation. Schumer was going to schedule a cloture vote on Dettelbach’s nomination as early as Tuesday, with final passage to follow.”

“However, Schumer and Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT) are out. Leahy fell on June 29 and broke his hip. The 82-year-old Vermont Democrat underwent hip replacement surgery and is rehabbing.”

With a 50-50 Senate, Democrats can’t afford to have any senator absent for an extended period.
Taegan

Tim Ryan Chases After Fox News Viewers

July 11, 2022 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rep. Tim Ryan — a Democrat angling to flip what many believed would be a safe Republican Senate seat in increasingly red Ohio — is unsubtly ratcheting up his efforts to woo GOP voters,” NBC News reports.

“Ryan’s latest TV ad will begin airing this week exclusively on Fox News, although its reach could eventually expand beyond the cable network known for its conservative audience and prime-time programming.”

States With Abortion Bans Risk Losing Economic Edge

July 11, 2022 at 9:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “For companies anchored in economically vibrant conservative states like Texas, Tennessee and Georgia, the rollback of women’s rights is no longer a hypothetical scenario but an immediate challenge. It represents a potential disruption to the calculus that has made Republican-led Sun Belt states a draw for big companies, which have tended to embrace the reduced taxes and regulations while treating local social policy as something of a sideshow.”

“That bargain may have grown more difficult in states that have imposed punitive abortion restrictions, banning the procedure altogether or limiting it nearly to the point of elimination.”

Congress Returns for Final Summer Sprint

July 11, 2022 at 7:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Congress returns on Monday with Democrats aiming to revive central pieces of President Biden’s stalled economic agenda while trying to keep on track a separate, bipartisan bill targeted at boosting competitiveness with China that top Republicans are threatening to block,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“House Democrats also are set to roll out legislation responding to the Supreme Court ruling ending federal abortion protections. The push could include legislation to write into law the right to an abortion before fetal viability, as well as a bill intended to block any state attempts to criminalize travel for the purpose of getting an abortion. The bills wouldn’t have enough support to pass the Senate.”

Biden Attacks Republicans for Blocking His Agenda

July 11, 2022 at 7:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Biden uncharacteristically slammed Republicans on Twitter last night:

“Republicans are doing nothing but obstructing our efforts to crack down on gas-price gouging, lower food prices, lower healthcare costs, and hopefully, soon, lower your prescription drug costs.”

“This is not right. And that’s why this election is going to be so darn important.”

Some Trump Aides Now Keep Their Distance

July 11, 2022 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Key players in former President Trump’s last campaign have quietly distanced themselves from the president, raising real questions about who would staff his campaign as he edges closer to a bid for reelection in 2024,” The Hill reports.

Paul Ryan Sobbed During Capitol Riot

July 11, 2022 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) was “sobbing” as he watched the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol unfold on television, a new book reports,” according to CNN.

Ryan said he’s not much of a crier, but “something snapped in him” as he watched the Capitol attack.

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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