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It’s Just Wednesday

February 5, 2020 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what we’ve seen so far this week:

  • The Iowa caucuses were a complete fiasco with the full results still not complete more than 36 hours later.
  • President Trump gave one of the most divisive State of the Union addresses in history, beginning with a refusal to shake Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s hand and ending with Pelosi ripping up his speech.
  • The Senate will later today vote to acquit President Trump on impeachment charges, even though a majority of Americans think he should be removed from office.

It’s safe to say it’s going to be an insane year in politics.

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Romney Watch

February 5, 2020 at 10:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Every Republican U.S. senator has now announced that they will vote against convicting President Trump, except for Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT), who has not revealed his intentions either way, the Deseret News reports.

Romney is expected to give a floor speech just before the Senate reconvenes as a court.

And there are a few Democrats — Sens. Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Doug Jones of Alabama and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona — who hadn’t revealed their decisions either.

The final impeachment vote is expected around 4 p.m. ET.

Leaders of DNC Host Committee Fired

February 5, 2020 at 9:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The two leaders of Milwaukee’s host committee for the 2020 Democratic National Convention are out,” the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

“Late Tuesday, the board for the Milwaukee 2020 Host Committee terminated President Liz Gilbert and her chief of staff, Adam Alonso. The move comes just one day after the board suspended the pair and launched an investigation into ‘toxic workplace’ allegations.”


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Bloomberg Ties Himself to Obama

February 5, 2020 at 9:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Bloomberg launched a new ad touting his ties to former President Barack Obama.

A Major Shift In Election Polling

February 5, 2020 at 8:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Using preliminary results in Iowa, Elliot Morris took a quick snapshot of how the pollsters did.

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Trump Dismisses Suggestion That He ‘Learned a Lesson’

February 5, 2020 at 8:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump dismissed Sen. Susan Collins’s (R-ME) comment that he had “learned a lesson” from impeachment, the Washington Post reports.

When asked about Collins’s comment during a lunch with news anchors ahead of the State of the Union address, Trump said that he’d done nothing wrong.

Said Trump: “It was a perfect call.”

Rhode Island Governor Endorses Bloomberg

February 5, 2020 at 8:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rhode Island Gov. Gina Raimondo (D) is endorsing former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg for president, the Providence Journal reports.

Biden’s Campaign Is On Life Support

February 5, 2020 at 8:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sean Trende: “We shouldn’t mince words here: Biden had an awful night. Yes, Iowa is a heavily white state, and it is a caucus rather than a primary, so it didn’t play to his strengths. Nevertheless, Biden is a former vice president to a very popular ex-president. He has universal name recognition and the implicit backing of large swaths of the Democratic establishment.”

“Yes, he can still recover in South Carolina, although that is looking much less probable than it did Monday morning. If his African-American support remains solid, he will perform well in the South. But his weakness among Northern whites is a red flag for states where he will need to win — and where he can’t rely on African-American support to push him over the top. If he’s coming in fourth place in Iowa, delegate-rich states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, and Ohio are likely to be challenging for him as well.”

“Looming over all of this is the question of money. All of the candidates spent heavily on Iowa, and Biden needs to replenish his coffers. Will donors stick with him through New Hampshire? Almost certainly. But how many underperformances can he turn in before they abandon him?”

Bloomberg Starts Drawing Big Crowds

February 5, 2020 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “In a sign of Mr. Bloomberg’s growing strength, he staged a rally in Philadelphia—about a mile from Mr. Biden’s campaign headquarters—that drew more than 2,000 people.”

Trump Pleased with State of the Union

February 5, 2020 at 8:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump is apparently happy with media coverage of his State of the Union address, tweeting this morning:

“It was a great and triumphant evening for our Country. Thank you for all of the nice remarks and wonderful reviews of my State of the Union Speech. It was my great honor to have done it!”

Boston Globe Withholds Endorsement

February 5, 2020 at 7:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Boston Globe’s editorial board withheld its presidential endorsement and instead called for the end of the first-in-the-nation presidential votes in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Sanders Widens Lead In New Hampshire

February 5, 2020 at 6:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University poll in New Hampshire shows Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic field with 24%, followed by Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg both tied at 15%, and Elizabeth Warren at 13%.

A new Emerson tracking poll finds Sanders leading with 32%, followed by Buttigieg at 17%, Biden at 13%, Warren at 11% and Klobuchar at 11%.

The Strangest State of the Union Ever

February 5, 2020 at 6:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Harris: “President Donald Trump likes his superlatives and you have to give him credit: He definitely earned them this time. This was the most defiant, most boastful, most ostentatiously theatrical, most overtly campaign-oriented, most am-I-hearing-this-right? outlandish — the most flamboyantly bizarre — State of the Union Address of All Time.”

“It was also the most disorienting, and hard to categorize through the prism of conventional political analysis. That prism already had lost much of its utility during the Trump Era, and the president seemed to shatter it completely in a 78-minute speech to a congressional audience whose fealty and contempt toward Trump were on display in equal and vivid measure. Trump long ago lost the capacity truly to shock, but he still has tricks up his sleeve: The speech showed he still has ability to surprise.”

“In particular, his speech was notable for the unapologetically zig-zag quality of the messaging. The usual rubric is that national politicians face a choice of mobilization or persuasion. One choice is to energize the partisan base with sharp-edged rhetoric and cultural and ideological scab-picking. The other choice is to blur lines with round-edged appeals to voters who aren’t on board but might yet be coaxed there. Trump refused the choice. In keeping with the more-is-more spirit of the speech, he did both.”

Pelosi Rips Trump’s Speech In Half

February 4, 2020 at 10:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

At the end of President Trump’s State of the Union address, Speaker Nancy Pelosi stood up and ripped a copy of the speech in half and threw it on the desk.

Kweisi Mfume Wins Special Primary In Maryland

February 4, 2020 at 9:54 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In an upset, the AP has called the Maryland 7th congressional district special primary for former Rep. Kweisi Mfume (D-MD) over the widow of the late Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD), Maya Rockeymoore Cummings.

Biden’s Poor Showing In Iowa Shakes Establishment

February 4, 2020 at 8:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Joe Biden’s third presidential bid enters a critical stretch after a disappointing finish in the Iowa caucuses sent the former vice president on to New Hampshire with a skittish donor base, low cash reserves and the looming threat of billionaire rival Michael Bloomberg and his unlimited personal wealth,” the AP reports.

“That leaves some establishment Democrats, including some Biden supporters, questioning his contention that he’ll reclaim clear front-runner status in the race against President Trump once the primary fight moves beyond overwhelmingly white Iowa and New Hampshire to more racially diverse electorates. And it’s a reminder of how Biden’s previous presidential campaigns never advanced beyond Iowa.”

The State of the Union Address

February 4, 2020 at 8:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump will give his State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress at 9 p.m. ET.

Following the speech, the Democratic response will be given by Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) and Rep. Veronica Escobar (D-TX).

New York Times: “Surreal will be the word of the evening as President Trump marches into the same House chamber where he was impeached just seven weeks ago to address the nation even as he is on trial for high crimes and misdemeanors on the other side of the Capitol.”

Leave your reactions in the comments.

GOP Leaders In South Carolina Plan to Boost Bernie

February 4, 2020 at 8:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group of prominent South Carolina Republicans is preparing to launch a wide-scale effort this week to encourage GOP voters to vote for Sen. Bernie Sanders in the February 29 Democratic primary,” the Charleston Post and Courier reports.

“The Republican plan to meddle in the Democratic race, emerging just weeks before the ‘First in the South’ primary, has two goals: Boost the candidate who the Republicans believe presents the weakest general election threat to President Trump and pressure Democrats to support closing state primaries in the future.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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